2024 Belmont Stakes: Analyzing the horses at Saratoga from favorites to pretenders (2024)

This year’s Belmont Stakes will truly be a race unlike any other, and that’s not hyperbole: for the first time in the race’s 156-year history, it will be run at Saratoga Race Course.

The move was necessitated by the demolition and renovation of Belmont Park, at which racing hasn’t taken place in nearly a year. While almost all of the races held at Belmont have been moved 10 miles southwest to Aqueduct Race Track in Queens, Aqueduct is generally seen as the least desirable of the three New York Racing Association (NYRA) tracks, with Saratoga regularly drawing the highest number of customers.

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Belmont Stakes day is part of a four-day racing festival at Saratoga, likely to be repeated next year as the Belmont rebuild continues.

Belmont Park is the only track in the country with a mile-and-a-half oval; the circumference of the track at Saratoga is a mile and an eighth, a configuration that led to NYRA’s shortening the Belmont Stakes from its customary 12 furlongs (a furlong is an eighth of a mile) to 10, the distance of the Kentucky Derby, the Breeders’ Cup Classic, and the Travers Stakes, et al. The mile and a quarter distance is considered the “classic distance” in U.S. racing.

No number of racing enthusiasts are too happy about the decision; the 12-furlong Belmont is a unique challenge, while a 10-furlong race is just another race, albeit one that is still longer than any race for 3-year-olds this year except the Kentucky Derby.

The weather outlook for all four days of the racing festival is unsettled, with rain in the forecast intermittently throughout. The NYRA track crew will no doubt be working overtime to ensure a fast track on Saturday, but even their best efforts might not be enough if the worst of the forecasts develops.

Post time for the Belmont Stakes is 6:41 p.m. ET. While both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness aired on NBC networks, the Belmont belongs to Fox. Coverage begins on FS1 at 10:30 a.m. ET on Saturday, switches to Fox from 4-7 p.m., then concludes on FS2 from 7-8 p.m.

In post-position order, here’s your look at the field for the Grade 1, $2 million Belmont Stakes. Good luck and safe trips to all.

2024 Belmont Stakes: Analyzing the horses at Saratoga from favorites to pretenders (1)

Preakness winner Seize the Grey trains during a morning workout prior to the 156th running of the Belmont Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. (Photo by Al Bello / Getty Images)

1 – Seize the Grey

Owner: My Racehorse

Jockey: Jaime Torres

Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas

Morning line odds: 8-1

The Preakness winner is the fourth choice on the morning line, despite some clear advantages. He’s shown an affinity for an off track, having won the Preakness at a muddy Pimlico and getting his first win at Saratoga last summer in the slop. Though the Preakness is half a furlong shorter than this year’s Belmont, the distance clearly wasn’t a problem for him. He’s a frontrunner who encountered no speed challenges in the Preakness, which is unlikely to happen here, and the post position does him no favors: he’ll have to gun from the gate to make the lead before the horses hit the first of the race’s three turns.

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2 – Resilience

Owner: Emily Bushnell and Ric Waldman

Jockey: Junior Alvarado

Trainer: Bill Mott

Morning line odds: 10-1

He returns from a seventh-place finish in the Kentucky Derby, which is not in and of itself a reason to toss him. The chaos of a 20-horse field may well have prevented him from doing his best running, and I trust trainer Bill Mott to spot his horses where he thinks they can do well. An off track downgrades his chances.

3 – Mystik Dan

Owner: Lance Gasaway, 4 G Racing LLC, Daniel Hamby III, and Valley View Farm LLC

Trainer: Ken McPeek

Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr.

Morning line odds: 5-2

The only horse to run in all three Triple Crown races this year, he was second in the Preakness by 2 1/4 lengths, hardly embarrassing himself. A pacesetter earlier in his career, he’s become more of a stalker, which could put him in an excellent position should a speed duel develop up front.

4 – The Wine Steward

Owner: Paradise Farms Corp. and David Staudacher

Trainer: Mike Maker

Jockey: Manuel Franco

Morning line odds: 15-1

In six lifetime races, he’s never finished worse than second, and he’s never lost by more than three-quarters of a length. He’s also never faced quite this level of competition before, but he’s also no slouch. His pedigree screams stamina (his sire Vino Rosso won the Breeders’ Cup Classic), he won at Saratoga last summer, and he’ll have long odds. There are downsides: He hasn’t won since moving beyond sprinting distances, and he’s never run on a wet track. But he’ll be on my tickets as a live longshot and underneath in exactas and trifectas.

5 – Antiquarian

Owner: Centennial Farms

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: John Velazquez

Morning line odds: 12-1

Winner of the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes last out, he beat two of his rivals here (The Wine Steward and Protective) in that race. The first of three runners from Pletcher broke his maiden over a sloppy track at Fair Grounds in February, then jumped right up to the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, finishing sixth by four lengths. Another with a stalking style that would benefit from a contested pace, he’s bred for distance and a serious contender.

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6 – Dornoch

Owner: West Paces Racing LLC, R.A. Hill Stable, Belmar Racing and Breeding LLC, Two Eight Racing LLC, and Pine Racing Stables

Trainer: Danny Gargan

Jockey: Luis Saez

Morning line odds: 15-1

He finished 10th last out in the Kentucky Derby, only the second race in which he didn’t finish in the top two. The problem is that both of those off-the-board finishes came in Grade 1 races, so maybe he’s just not good enough to compete against these? He’s a full brother to last year’s Kentucky Derby winner Mage, and he’s run his best races on the lead. One of three potential speeds here, I don’t see him winning a speed duel.

7 – Protective

Owner: Repole Stable

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione

Morning line odds: 20-1

The second of the Pletcher runners was a promising second in his first race, last summer at Saratoga, then didn’t race again until March. He’s finished third in all three of his races this year, two of which came in graded stakes races, putting him in the unusual position of being graded-stakes placed while still a maiden. Hard to see him breaking through here.

8 – Honor Marie

Owner: Ribble Farms LLC, Michael H. Eiserman, Earl I. Silver, Kenneth E. Fishbein, and Dave Fishbein

Trainer: Whit Beckman

Jockey: Florent Geroux

Morning line odds: 12-1

A rough trip in the Kentucky Derby resulted in an eighth-place finish by 13 lengths, and he gets a new jockey here, one with significantly more high-level experience and success. His record on a wet track is mixed, and it’s possible that he had good excuses in his two off-the-board finishes: a 20-horse Derby in which he was jostled early, and a sloppy track in the Grade 2 Risen Star. Mixed signals from this one.

2024 Belmont Stakes: Analyzing the horses at Saratoga from favorites to pretenders (2)

9 – Sierra Leone

Owner: Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor, Derrick Smith, Westerberg, Rocket Ship Racing, and Peter M. Brant

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Trainer: Chad Brown

Jockey: Flavien Prat

Morning line odds: 9-5

He fell a nose short of winning a Kentucky Derby that was roughly run in the last sixteenth of a mile, and trainer Brown has elected to replace his Derby jockey with Flavien Prat, who boasts an impressive resume of graded stakes wins. The morning line favorite cost $2.3 million as a yearling and he’s done nothing wrong in his five lifetime races. An off track won’t be a problem for him.

10 – Mindframe

Owner: Repole Stable and St. Elias Stables LLC

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

Morning line odds: 7-2

Intriguing newcomer is the second choice on the morning line and the third for Pletcher. He’s won his first two races by 13 and 7 1/2 lengths respectively. He’s bred to run long, and he jumped from seven furlongs to a mile and a 16th without breaking a sweat. The competition gets a lot stiffer here, but I wouldn’t overlook him.

(Photo of Mystik Dan: Al Bello / Getty Images)

Teresa Genaro is a contributor to The Athletic's horse racing coverage. A veteran turf writer, she has published work in The New York Times, The Guardian, Bloodhorse magazine, The Racing Biz, and New York Breeder and was featured in the PBS documentaries The Track at Saratoga: America's Grandest Race Course and Old Bones: The Story of Exterminator. She co-hosted a web series for The Racing Biz on diversity and equity in the horse racing industry. A native of Saratoga Springs, she teaches high school English in Brooklyn.

2024 Belmont Stakes: Analyzing the horses at Saratoga from favorites to pretenders (2024)

FAQs

Which horse is favored to win the Belmont Stakes? ›

Meanwhile, Kentucky Derby runner-up Sierra Leone is the 9-5 favorite in the 2024 Belmont Stakes lineup. Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan (5-1) and Preakness Stakes winner Seize the Grey (8-1) round out the top four choices among the 2024 Belmont Stakes horses.

How many horses are in the Belmont Stakes in 2024? ›

What are the horses and post positions for the 2024 Belmont Stakes? Ten horses are scheduled to take part in the Belmont Stakes: Seize The Grey. Resilience.

What horse has the best time in the Belmont? ›

The 1973 Belmont Stakes and Triple Crown winner Secretariat holds the track record (which is also a world record on dirt) of 2:24. Elmont, New York, U.S.

Why are Belmont Stakes not at Belmont? ›

Saratoga has become a summer horse racing oasis and was the natural choice for where to move the Triple Crown finale in 2024 and '25 while Belmont Park in New York undergoes a massive $455 million reconstruction project.

How did the horses finish in the Belmont Stakes? ›

Dornoch won the 156th running of the Belmont Stakes on Saturday, beating a handful of contenders widely believed to have a greater chance of winning. “It was perfect,” jockey Luis Saez said of Dornoch's run to fend off Mindframe, who finished second. Sierra Leone finished third.

How old are the horses in the Belmont Stakes? ›

The Triple Crown is a series of three horse races − the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. Only 3-year-old thoroughbred horses compete in each race.

Who is the favorite in the Belmont 2024? ›

The winners of the first two Triple Crown races, Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan and Preakness winner Seize the Grey, are in the 10-horse Belmont field, though the favorite is the Wayne Lukas-trained horse Sierra Leone.

What is the fastest race horse of all time? ›

Spectacular Bid set the record for a mile and a quarter, with a time of 1 minute and 57.8 seconds, in 1980. A mare called Winning Brew is the current world record holder for the fastest horse. She clocked an incredible 43.97 mph during a race in 2008, breaking Guinness Louts' previous record of 43.5 mph.

Why are horses running at Aqueduct instead of Belmont? ›

With Empire City and Jamaica both closed in the late 1950s, the New York City area had just Aqueduct and Belmont Park, so shutting the latter permanently would hurt racing in the area. Instead, NYRA opted to raze and then rebuild Belmont Park and temporarily moved the track's races, including its stakes, to Aqueduct.

Who is the favorite at Belmont Stakes? ›

Below we will look at Belmont Stakes odds for the 2024 horse race. The official Belmont field with post positions and morning line odds have been posted below. Sierra Leone is the favorite at 9-5.

Is there a horse buried at Belmont? ›

At around 9 p.m. on July 7, 1975, after the day's races concluded at Belmont Park, Ruffian's remains were buried in a private ceremony in the infield.

Who owns the horse that won the Belmont Stakes? ›

Jayson Werth's horse victorious at Belmont Stakes

The racehorse that Werth co-owns, Dornoch, won the Belmont Stakes, the final leg of horse racing's Triple Crown, on Saturday at Saratoga Race Course. Dornoch put Werth into the winner's circle 16 years after he was a part of the Phillies' 2008 World Series title team.

How many horses did Secretariat sired? ›

He sired 663 named foals, those horses creating endless bloodlines that eventually wind their way back to Big Red. American Pharoah, who broke the 37-year-old Triple Crown hex in 2015, is a great-great-great grandson of the horse. But only two of those 663 direct progeny are still alive.

How many miles per hour did Secretariat run in the Belmont Stakes? ›

This phenomenal Thoroughbred, also known as "Big Red", won the Triple Crown in 1973, setting new race records in all three events - records that still stand today. Secretariat's record-breaking speed in the Belmont Stakes reached an estimated 37.5 mph.

What is a 3 year old horse called? ›

Colt: A male horse under the age of four. • Filly: A female horse under the age of four. • Mare: A female horse four years old and older.

How old was Secretariat the horse when he died? ›

His daughters produced several notable sires, including Storm Cat, A.P. Indy, Gone West, Dehere, and Chief's Crown, and through them Secretariat appears in the pedigree of many modern champions. Secretariat died in 1989 as a result of laminitis at age 19.

Who is the oldest horse ever? ›

Old Billy (also called Billy or Ol' Billy) was the longest-living horse on record. Old Billy was verified to be 62 at his death. Born in Woolston, Cheshire, England in 1760, Billy adventured and became a barge horse that pulled barges up and down canals.

Who is the favorite in the Belmont tomorrow? ›

Belmont Stakes live odds

As of 2 p.m. Saturday, with over $3.7 million in the win pool, Sierra Leone is holding as the favorite at 2-1. Seize the Grey has notably dropped from 8-1 to 4-1, while Mindframe has risen from 7-2 to 7-1.

What is the winners share for the Belmont? ›

How much will the Belmont Stakes winner take home? The winner will take home $1.5 million from a purse of $2 million, up from $1.5 million last year. That's split between the owner, trainer, and jockey. The jockey's agent and the valet also get a cut.

What is the trifecta for the Belmont Stakes? ›

Belmont Stakes Trifecta: Pick the first-, second- and third-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 trifecta returned $133.24 at the 2023 Belmont Stakes with Arcangelo, Forte and Tapit Trice. Belmont Stakes Superfecta: Pick the first-, second-, third- and fourth-place finishers in the correct order.

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